So the cease-fire has taken hold in southern Lebanon. I’m wondering, though, who won? Here we have on one hand President Bush claiming victory for Israel and saying that Hezbollah has been defeated. On the other hand, Hezbollah leader Hasan Nasrallah claiming a “strategic, historic victory.”

I’m not clear if either side came close to victory at all. Victory implies the accomplishment of one or many objectives. Victory in World War II meant the complete surrender of the Axis powers. Victory in the Gulf War meant the outster of Iraqi forces from Kuwait’s territory. Let me go out on a limb here and figure out what were the objectives of the two sides in the conflict.

Israel’s Objectives
Israel had just seen its soldiers kidnapped in the Gaza by Hamas and along the Lebanese border by Hezbollah. In addition, even after withdrawing from southern Lebanon six years ago, cities in the north of Israel had endured hundreds of rocket attacks from Hezbollah bases. My guess is that Israel wanted the complete destruction of Hezbollah as a fighting force.

Objectives Achieved?
Israel managed to disable a lot of Lebanon itself and blow hundreds of civilians to smithereens, but even in the last hours of the war, Hezbollah launched hundreds of rockets into Israeli territory. From what it looks like, Hezbollah is hurt, but not destroyed or disabled in any way. For a country whose history is made up of overwhelming, blitzkreig victories, this cannot be anything less than a disappointing end.

Hezbollah’s Objectives
Faced with the awesome power of the Israeli army, their objective was most likely to simply stay alive and fight back as hard as they could. I personally believe they are the aggressors here, and I would love nothing more than to see every last Hezbollah soldier either disarmed or killed. However, as said earlier, that clearly didn’t happen.

Objectives Achieved?
Hezbollah is still there, and apparently still in control of what is left of southern Lebanon. Will they yield to the Lebanese army and the multinational force?

So what’s happened here? It really looks like a stalemate from Israel’s perspective, and a victory from Hezbollah’s side. No one ever said fighting guerillas were easy; why should Israel have been an exception? I’m disappointed as I’m sure a lot of Israelis are. I want to see Hezbollah gone. Their purpose of existence is to achieve the destruction of Israel. I think it’s very clear that no country should have to tolerate rocket attacks from an enemy, but everyone seems to expect Israel to.

When the civilians return to southern Lebanese cities and see the ruin wrecked by the Hezbollah strategy of using residential areas as bases from which to launch their attacks, it is my hope that the civilians will see how Hezbollah has so carelessly disregarded the safety of their fellow Lebanese in their jihadist zeal to destroy the “Zionist state.” Somehow, I don’t think that’s going to happen, unfortunately.


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